Driving Test Pass Rates Across UK Cities in 2026
A learner asking "what is the pass rate where I live" usually gets a centre-level answer that misses the wider city pattern. Aggregated to city level, Glasgow sits at around 41 percent across its centres, Cardiff at 51 percent, with London, Manchester and Birmingham grouped between 45 and 48 percent. The 10 point spread between Cardiff and Glasgow says more about route density and learner cohort than about teaching quality. Read the city numbers before you read the centre numbers.
- London
- ~47.9%Greater London average
- Birmingham
- ~45.4%across metro centres
- Manchester
- ~47.9%across metro centres
- Glasgow
- ~41.3%across metro centres
- Cardiff
- ~51.3%across metro centres
- UK national average
- 48.7%DVSA 2024-25
Why city aggregates matter more than centre-by-centre
A single test centre can vary from the city average by 10 to 20 percentage points. Outer south-east London centres pass well above the Greater London average of around 47.9 percent, while dense inner-city centres sit well below it. A learner who treats either extreme as representative of "London pass rate" gets the wrong picture. The city aggregate, weighted by centre test volume, is the figure that matches what the average city learner experiences.
The city view also smooths out cohort variation between centres. A high-volume centre with mixed learner cohorts tends to fall near the city average. A low-volume centre with niche cohorts (intensive course graduates, refugees, instructor concentrations) can sit well outside it. For planning purposes (whether to test in your city or travel out, whether your local cohort is "hard" or "average") the city number is the better baseline.
The five cities, ranked and explained
London near the national average: the route-density story
London sits close to the UK national average for pass rates once the whole Greater London geography is aggregated. The roughly 47.9 percent volume-weighted average masks a wide internal spread, running from outer south-east suburban centres well above the average to dense inner-city centres well below it. That internal spread is wider than the gap between London and Cardiff, which is the diagnostic clue: route density inside London matters more than the geographic label of the city.
Three structural drivers explain the London number. First, route environment: most London centres route learners through dense urban traffic with priority-shifting cycle infrastructure, box junctions, bus gates, and contraflow systems. Second, cohort exposure: London learners often have less private practice time because car ownership is lower and the practice opportunities are dense urban roads where they need lessons. Third, examiner rotation: high-volume centres rotate more examiners, though all mark to the same national standard. The research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page covers the statistical workup.
Birmingham at 45 percent: the metro average
Birmingham sits a few points below the UK national average among the five biggest cities. The roughly 45.4 percent volume-weighted figure spans five metropolitan centres (Sutton Coldfield, Wyrley Birch, Garretts Green, Kings Heath, Shirley), with a spread on either side of that average. The internal spread is narrower than London because Birmingham's centres serve more uniform suburban catchments. Routes feature A-road sections, residential streets, and the Aston Expressway corridor at some centres. The passing driving test Birmingham guide covers the centre breakdown.
A learner planning Birmingham can expect a pass-rate experience close to the UK average regardless of which Birmingham centre they pick, which simplifies the booking decision. The cancellation hunting strategy that works in London (multi-centre saved search to catch outer-borough lifts) delivers smaller gains in Birmingham because the centres are more similar.
Manchester at 48 percent: the Greater Manchester picture
Greater Manchester encompasses four metropolitan centres in the city-aggregate calculation (Cheetham Hill, Failsworth, West Didsbury, Sale). The roughly 47.9 percent figure sits close to the UK average. The driver is similar to Birmingham but with sharper internal variation: some inner centres sit at the lower end while outer centres run higher. A learner with mobility across Greater Manchester can lift their expected pass rate by 8 to 10 percentage points by choosing the right centre.
The Manchester routes feature tram-network exposure that other UK cities do not have. Tram crossings and parallel-tram road sections appear on most central Manchester routes and produce a specific fault group (positioning around tram tracks). Learners who train on tram-route awareness specifically tend to perform meaningfully better in Manchester centres than those who do not. The easiest test centre Manchester guide covers the centre-by-centre detail.
Glasgow at 41 percent: the Scottish urban benchmark
Glasgow has three metropolitan centres (Anniesland, Mosspark, Shieldhall) producing a roughly 41.3 percent volume-weighted average, the lowest of the five biggest cities. This sits well below the broader Scottish pattern, where many smaller and rural Scottish centres run higher and lift the national Scottish figure. Glasgow specifically falls toward the bottom because of the inner-city route characteristics shared with English urban centres.
Why Scottish pass rates run higher overall: lower traffic density on most routes, fewer cycle-infrastructure complications, longer typical lesson hours among Scottish learners, and a higher proportion of learners with private practice access. The why pass rates higher Scotland guide covers the structural drivers.
Cardiff at 51 percent: the best of the five
Cardiff has two metropolitan centres (Cardiff and Llantrisant on the city fringe), producing a roughly 51.3 percent volume-weighted average. This is around 2.6 points above the UK national average and roughly 3 to 4 points above London. The drivers are a mix: Cardiff's urban centre is geographically compact (most routes leave the dense centre quickly into suburban Whitchurch or Llanishen), the Welsh cohort tends to have higher private practice rates, and the centre volumes are modest compared with London or Birmingham (around 13,000 tests a year total across the city versus 165,000 in London).
The Cardiff number is also lifted by the Llantrisant centre, which sits on the M4 fringe and serves suburban catchments with routes that feel more like Welsh rural centres than urban Cardiff. A learner in Cardiff itself can typically reach Llantrisant inside 30 minutes for the test, which captures the pass-rate advantage. The easiest test centre Cardiff guide covers the cross-centre picture.
The cities outside the top five
Beyond the big five, the city-level pattern continues. Leeds sits around 50 percent across its metropolitan centres. Liverpool runs around 43 percent. Newcastle around 41 percent. Sheffield around 46 percent. Edinburgh around 51 percent. Bristol around 52 percent. Northern Ireland sits outside this dataset: it is run by the DVA rather than DVSA, so its centres do not appear in the DVSA figures used throughout this analysis.
| What the city aggregate predicts | What it does not predict | |
|---|---|---|
| Average centre experience | Yes, within roughly 5 to 10 points | No, individual centre can vary by 15+ points |
| Route environment difficulty | Yes, on average across centres | No, specific route at your centre may be easier or harder |
| Cohort competition for slots | Yes, broadly indicative of wait times | No, specific centre slot release varies |
| Your personal pass odds | Sets the cohort baseline | Your preparation, age and centre choice matter more |
| Whether to travel for a test | Yes, 15+ point inter-city gaps justify travel for some | No, intra-city gaps can be larger and cheaper to exploit |
| Quality of local instructors | No correlation, instructor grade matters separately | Use the DVSA register to verify ADI quality |
The cross-city travel decision
A London learner facing a low rate at a dense inner-city centre can reach Llantrisant (around 51 percent) in roughly three hours by train and the test itself takes 40 minutes. The journey adds significant cost (£80 to £150 train, accommodation if early test) and is rarely worth it unless paired with practical reasons (visiting family, weekend travel). The travel-for-test calculation works at the city margin (a London learner travelling to a Surrey or Essex outer-London centre at 50+ percent) but rarely at full city-to-city scale.
The more useful travel calculation is intra-city. A north-east London learner travelling 35 minutes from Chingford (36.5 percent) to Enfield Innova (56.4 percent) captures a 20 percentage point lift on a manageable journey. A Manchester learner travelling from Cheetham Hill (41 percent) to Sale (50 percent) captures a 9 point lift. These are the lifts that actually pay back. The should I travel for easier test guide covers the calculation.
- 01Find your city aggregate
Use the figures above. London, Birmingham, Manchester, Glasgow, Cardiff have published volume-weighted figures. Other cities trend within the 41 to 53 percent band, with Glasgow at the lower end and Cardiff at the upper end.
- 02Compare against UK average (48.7 percent)
If your city aggregate is below the UK average, expect more competition for slots and slightly harder routes on average. If above, you are starting from a favourable base.
- 03Check the within-city spread
Within-city spreads can exceed cross-city gaps. London has a 22.5 point internal spread, larger than any inter-city gap. Pick the right centre within your city before considering travel.
- 04Decide on travel only if internal spread is exhausted
If you have already picked the best centre within practical reach, then cross-city travel becomes worth modelling. Outside Cardiff and rural Scotland, the cross-city gains rarely outweigh the costs.
- 05Track waits separately from pass rates
High pass-rate centres often have longer waits. The pass-rate lift is worth around 2 to 6 extra weeks of wait. A 20-point lift is usually worth it. A 5-point lift usually is not.
The London spread, addressed honestly
A London learner reading this guide may be surprised that the Greater London aggregate sits close to the national average when individual inner-city centres feel so much harder. Two clarifications. First, the inner-city figures are structural: those centres have the densest urban routes in the UK and the lowest private-practice rates. It is not "London learners are worse drivers", it is "inner-London tests are harder by route environment". Second, the wide internal spread means a London learner with mobility can effectively choose between an inner-city centre and a far easier outer-London centre without leaving the M25. The lift is available, it just requires the cross-borough travel calculation.
“City pass rates are the conversation starter, not the conclusion. London near 48 percent and Cardiff near 51 percent both have learners passing first time at 60 percent or more. The city aggregate sets the cohort, the candidate sets the outcome.”
The volume picture behind the city numbers
London accounts for roughly 165,000 of the UK's 1.84 million annual practical tests, or about 9 percent of national volume. Birmingham is around 45,000, Manchester 38,000, Glasgow 22,000, Cardiff 13,000. The high London volume means the city aggregate is statistically more stable (less year-on-year variation) but also means small percentage point shifts in London move the national average meaningfully. The research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page covers the volume picture.
The 2026 wait time picture also varies by city. London centres average 18 to 24 weeks, Birmingham 16 to 22, Manchester 14 to 20, Glasgow 12 to 18, Cardiff 14 to 18. The within-city variation again exceeds the cross-city pattern: a London learner can find shorter waits inside London by choosing the right centre, often without crossing into Surrey or Essex.
How this connects with the wider city and centre picture
For the detailed London-specific breakdown, see the research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page and the driving test pass rate London boroughs guide. For the Birmingham centre detail, see the passing driving test Birmingham guide. For Manchester, the easiest test centre Manchester guide. For Cardiff, the easiest test centre Cardiff guide. For Glasgow and wider Scottish patterns, the why pass rates higher Scotland guide. For the cross-city travel decision, the should I travel for easier test guide.
Sources and further reading
The figures, fees, and procedures referenced in this article are verifiable on the official gov.uk pages below. PassRates.uk is built on the Driver and Vehicle Standards Agency’s open data, published under the Open Government Licence.
Frequently asked questions
Which UK city has the lowest driving test pass rate?
Among the five biggest UK cities, Glasgow is the lowest at roughly 41.3 percent volume-weighted across its metropolitan centres, below the UK national average of 48.7 percent. London, despite its dense inner-city centres, aggregates close to the national average at around 47.9 percent across the whole of Greater London because outer-borough centres lift the figure. Within London the internal spread is wide, larger than the gap between most UK cities. See the research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page.
Which UK city has the highest driving test pass rate?
Among the five biggest UK cities covered by the DVSA series, Cardiff leads at roughly 51.3 percent volume-weighted across its two metropolitan centres (Cardiff and Llantrisant). Smaller cities and towns often exceed 55 percent. Among major English cities, Bristol runs around 52 percent while Sheffield sits closer to 46 percent. The structural drivers are route density (lower in Cardiff than inner London) and cohort exposure to private practice.
What is the pass rate for the driving test in Birmingham?
Around 45.4 percent volume-weighted across the five metropolitan Birmingham centres (Sutton Coldfield, Wyrley Birch, Garretts Green, Kings Heath, Shirley). The internal spread within Birmingham is narrower than London, with centres running on either side of that average. A learner in Birmingham can expect a pass-rate experience a few points below the UK national average regardless of which Birmingham centre they pick. See the passing driving test Birmingham guide.
Why do inner London driving test centres have low pass rates?
Three structural drivers. First, route environment: inner-London centres feature dense urban traffic with priority-shifting cycle infrastructure, box junctions, bus gates, and contraflow systems that produce more observation faults. Second, private practice exposure: London learners have lower car ownership and less practice access than national averages. Third, examiner rotation: high-volume centres rotate more examiners, all marking to the same national standard. The internal London spread between the hardest inner centres and the easiest outer-borough centres is wider than the gap between most UK cities, which is why the Greater London aggregate still lands close to the national average at around 47.9 percent.
Should I travel from London to a different city to take my driving test?
Rarely worth full cross-city travel. The intra-London spread is wider than the London-to-Cardiff inter-city gap, and a north-east London learner travelling 35 minutes from Chingford to Enfield Innova captures a 20 percentage point lift at modest cost. Crossing into Surrey or Essex for an outer-London centre is often the better calculation. Full Birmingham or Cardiff travel from London adds significant cost (£80 to £150 train plus accommodation) for a smaller gain than intra-city travel delivers. See the should I travel for easier test guide.
What is the pass rate for driving tests in Manchester and Glasgow?
Manchester sits at roughly 47.9 percent across four metropolitan centres (Cheetham Hill, Failsworth, West Didsbury, Sale) with sharper internal variation than Birmingham. Glasgow sits at roughly 41.3 percent across three metropolitan centres (Anniesland, Mosspark, Shieldhall), the lowest of the five biggest cities. Glasgow is below the broader Scottish picture because inner-city Scottish routes share characteristics with English urban centres. See the easiest test centre Manchester guide and the why pass rates higher Scotland guide.
Do UK driving test pass rates differ by region?
Yes, substantially. Scotland's rural centres pass highest per-centre, but on a volume-weighted basis Scotland sits near the 48.7 percent UK figure because large urban centres like Glasgow carry most of the volume; Wales has the highest volume-weighted national average at around 54 percent. Northern Ireland is administered by the DVA and sits outside the DVSA figures, so it is not included here. England sits close to the UK average. Rural centres almost universally outperform urban ones, with the largest rural-urban gaps appearing in the south of England.
How accurate are city-level pass rates for predicting my chances?
They set the cohort baseline but individual factors matter more. The city aggregate predicts your odds at the average centre within roughly 5 to 10 percentage points. Your specific centre choice can shift you 15+ points within the city. Your age cohort can shift the baseline another 10 to 20 points (17 year olds at 60.75 percent first time versus 30-plus at around 41 percent). Your preparation can shift another 10 to 15 points. City-level pass rates are useful for planning but not for prediction at individual level.
Related guides
- London and regional analysisEasiest London centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Manchester centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisManchester vs LiverpoolRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Newcastle centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Sheffield centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Edinburgh centreRead guide
Independent UK driving test analytics, reviewed against the latest DVSA quarterly statistical release.
Written byVikas Dulgunde, the software engineer behind PassRates.uk. The figures come straight from the DVSA open dataset; see themethodology.
Continue reading
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