Driving Test Passing Rates UK Cities 2026: London 38%, Birmingham 47%, Manchester 45%, Glasgow 46%, Cardiff 53%
A learner asking "what is the pass rate where I live" usually gets a centre-level answer that misses the wider city pattern. Aggregated to city level, London sits at around 38 percent across its 30-plus centres, Cardiff at 53 percent, with Birmingham, Manchester and Glasgow clustered between 45 and 47 percent. The 15 point spread between Cardiff and London says more about route density and learner cohort than about teaching quality. Read the city numbers before you read the centre numbers.

- London
- ~38%volume-weighted across 30+ centres
- Birmingham
- ~47%across 5 metro centres
- Manchester
- ~45%across 4 metro centres
- Glasgow
- ~46%across 3 metro centres
- Cardiff
- ~53%across 2 metro centres
- UK national average
- 48.7%DVSA DRT122A 2024-25
Why city aggregates matter more than centre-by-centre
A single test centre can vary from the city average by 10 to 20 percentage points. Sidcup in south-east London passes at 59.0 percent against a London city average of 38 percent. Chingford in north-east London passes at 36.5 percent. A learner who treats either as representative of "London pass rate" gets the wrong picture. The city aggregate, weighted by centre test volume, is the figure that matches what the average city learner experiences.
The city view also smooths out cohort variation between centres. A high-volume centre with mixed learner cohorts tends to fall near the city average. A low-volume centre with niche cohorts (intensive course graduates, refugees, instructor concentrations) can sit well outside it. For planning purposes (whether to test in your city or travel out, whether your local cohort is "hard" or "average") the city number is the better baseline.
The five cities, ranked and explained
London at 38 percent: the route-density story
London is the lowest-performing UK city for pass rates by a clear margin. The 38 percent volume-weighted average is roughly 10.7 percentage points below the UK national average. Within the city, the spread runs from Sidcup at 59 percent (outer south-east, M25-fringe suburban routes) to Chingford at 36.5 percent (north-east, dense urban arterial routes). The 22.5 point internal spread is wider than the 15 point inter-city spread between London and Cardiff, which is the diagnostic clue: route density inside London matters more than the geographic label of the city.
Three structural drivers explain the London number. First, route environment: most London centres route learners through dense urban traffic with priority-shifting cycle infrastructure, box junctions, bus gates, and contraflow systems. Second, cohort exposure: London learners often have less private practice time because car ownership is lower and the practice opportunities are dense urban roads where they need lessons. Third, examiner variance: the high-volume centres mean more examiner rotation and slightly higher inter-examiner variance. The research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page covers the statistical workup.
Birmingham at 47 percent: the metro average
Birmingham sits closest to the UK national average among the five biggest cities. The 47 percent volume-weighted figure spans five metropolitan centres (Sutton Coldfield, Wyrley Birch, Garretts Green, Kings Heath, Shirley), each between 43 percent and 51 percent. The internal spread is narrower than London because Birmingham's centres serve more uniform suburban catchments. Routes feature A-road sections, residential streets, and the Aston Expressway corridor at some centres. The pass driving test in Birmingham guide covers the centre breakdown.
A learner planning Birmingham can expect a pass-rate experience close to the UK average regardless of which Birmingham centre they pick, which simplifies the booking decision. The cancellation hunting strategy that works in London (multi-centre saved search to catch outer-borough lifts) delivers smaller gains in Birmingham because the centres are more similar.
Manchester at 45 percent: the Greater Manchester picture
Greater Manchester encompasses four metropolitan centres in the city-aggregate calculation (Cheetham Hill, Failsworth, West Didsbury, Sale). The 45 percent figure is 3.7 points below the UK average. The driver is similar to Birmingham but with sharper internal variation: Cheetham Hill and Failsworth sit at the lower end (around 40 to 42 percent), West Didsbury and Sale at the higher end (around 48 to 50 percent). A learner with mobility across Greater Manchester can lift their expected pass rate by 8 to 10 percentage points by choosing the right centre.
The Manchester routes feature tram-network exposure that other UK cities do not have. Tram crossings and parallel-tram road sections appear on most central Manchester routes and produce a specific fault cluster (positioning around tram tracks). Learners who train on tram-route awareness specifically tend to perform meaningfully better in Manchester centres than those who do not. The easiest test centre Manchester guide covers the centre-by-centre detail.
Glasgow at 46 percent: the Scottish urban benchmark
Glasgow has three metropolitan centres (Anniesland, Mosspark, Shieldhall) producing a 46 percent volume-weighted average. This is consistent with the broader Scottish pattern of pass rates trending slightly above English city averages: Edinburgh sits around 51 percent, smaller Scottish centres (rural) often exceed 60 percent. The Scottish average across all centres is roughly 52 percent versus 48.7 percent UK-wide. Glasgow specifically falls below the Scottish average because of the inner-city route characteristics shared with English urban centres.
Why Scottish pass rates run higher overall: lower traffic density on most routes, fewer cycle-infrastructure complications, longer typical lesson hours among Scottish learners, and a higher proportion of learners with private practice access. The why pass rates higher Scotland guide covers the structural drivers.
Cardiff at 53 percent: the best of the five
Cardiff has two metropolitan centres (Cardiff and Llantrisant on the city fringe), producing a 53 percent volume-weighted average. This is 4.3 points above the UK national average and roughly 15 points above London. The drivers are a mix: Cardiff's urban centre is geographically compact (most routes leave the dense centre quickly into suburban Whitchurch or Llanishen), the Welsh cohort tends to have higher private practice rates, and the centre volumes are modest compared with London or Birmingham (around 13,000 tests a year total across the city versus 165,000 in London).
The Cardiff number is also lifted by the Llantrisant centre, which sits on the M4 fringe and serves suburban catchments with routes that feel more like Welsh rural centres than urban Cardiff. A learner in Cardiff itself can typically reach Llantrisant inside 30 minutes for the test, which captures the pass-rate advantage. The easiest test centre Cardiff guide covers the cross-centre picture.
The cities outside the top five
Beyond the big five, the city-level pattern continues. Leeds sits around 47 percent across its three metropolitan centres. Liverpool runs around 46 percent. Newcastle around 50 percent. Sheffield around 51 percent. Edinburgh around 51 percent. Bristol around 52 percent. Belfast around 56 percent. The Northern Irish system, run by DVA rather than DVSA, produces structurally higher rates because of the lower test volumes per centre and the more rural-suburban route character.
| What the city aggregate predicts | What it does not predict | |
|---|---|---|
| Average centre experience | Yes, within roughly 5 to 10 points | No, individual centre can vary by 15+ points |
| Route environment difficulty | Yes, on average across centres | No, specific route at your centre may be easier or harder |
| Cohort competition for slots | Yes, broadly indicative of wait times | No, specific centre slot release varies |
| Your personal pass odds | Sets the cohort baseline | Your preparation, age and centre choice matter more |
| Whether to travel for a test | Yes, 15+ point inter-city gaps justify travel for some | No, intra-city gaps can be larger and cheaper to exploit |
| Quality of local instructors | No correlation, instructor grade matters separately | Use the DVSA register to verify ADI quality |
The cross-city travel decision
A London learner facing 38 percent at their home centre can reach Llantrisant (53 percent) in roughly three hours by train and the test itself takes 40 minutes. The journey adds significant cost (£80 to £150 train, accommodation if early test) and is rarely worth it unless paired with practical reasons (visiting family, weekend travel). The travel-for-test calculation works at the city margin (a London learner travelling to a Surrey or Essex outer-London centre at 50+ percent) but rarely at full city-to-city scale.
The more useful travel calculation is intra-city. A north-east London learner travelling 35 minutes from Chingford (36.5 percent) to Enfield Innova (56.4 percent) captures a 20 percentage point lift on a manageable journey. A Manchester learner travelling from Cheetham Hill (41 percent) to Sale (50 percent) captures a 9 point lift. These are the lifts that actually pay back. The should I travel for easier test guide covers the calculation.
- 01Find your city aggregate
Use the figures above. London, Birmingham, Manchester, Glasgow, Cardiff have published volume-weighted figures. Other cities trend within the 45 to 53 percent band with London as the clear outlier.
- 02Compare against UK average (48.7 percent)
If your city aggregate is below the UK average, expect more competition for slots and slightly harder routes on average. If above, you are starting from a favourable base.
- 03Check the within-city spread
Within-city spreads can exceed cross-city gaps. London has a 22.5 point internal spread, larger than any inter-city gap. Pick the right centre within your city before considering travel.
- 04Decide on travel only if internal spread is exhausted
If you have already picked the best centre within practical reach, then cross-city travel becomes worth modelling. Outside Cardiff and rural Scotland, the cross-city gains rarely outweigh the costs.
- 05Track waits separately from pass rates
High pass-rate centres often have longer waits. The pass-rate lift is worth around 2 to 6 extra weeks of wait. A 20-point lift is usually worth it. A 5-point lift usually is not.
The London exception, addressed honestly
A London learner reading this guide may feel the 38 percent figure is unfairly low. Two clarifications. First, the figure is structural: the city has the densest urban routes in the UK and the lowest private-practice rates. It is not "London learners are worse drivers", it is "London tests are harder by route environment". Second, the 22.5 point internal spread means a London learner with mobility can effectively choose between London-tier (Chingford 36.5 percent) and Welsh-tier (Sidcup 59 percent) without leaving the M25. The lift is available, it just requires the cross-borough travel calculation.
“City pass rates are the conversation starter, not the conclusion. London at 38 percent and Cardiff at 53 percent both have learners passing first time at 60 percent or more. The city aggregate sets the cohort, the candidate sets the outcome.”
The volume picture behind the city numbers
London accounts for roughly 165,000 of the UK's 1.5 million annual practical tests, or about 11 percent of national volume. Birmingham is around 45,000, Manchester 38,000, Glasgow 22,000, Cardiff 13,000. The high London volume means the city aggregate is statistically more stable (less year-on-year variation) but also means small percentage point shifts in London move the national average meaningfully. The research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page covers the volume picture.
The 2026 wait time picture also varies by city. London centres average 18 to 24 weeks, Birmingham 16 to 22, Manchester 14 to 20, Glasgow 12 to 18, Cardiff 14 to 18. The within-city variation again exceeds the cross-city pattern: a London learner can find shorter waits inside London by choosing the right centre, often without crossing into Surrey or Essex.
How this connects with the wider city and centre picture
For the detailed London-specific breakdown, see the research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page and the driving test pass rate London boroughs guide. For the Birmingham centre detail, see the pass driving test in Birmingham guide. For Manchester, the easiest test centre Manchester guide. For Cardiff, the easiest test centre Cardiff guide. For Glasgow and wider Scottish patterns, the why pass rates higher Scotland guide. For the cross-city travel decision, the should I travel for easier test guide.
Sources and further reading
The figures, fees, and procedures referenced in this article are verifiable on the official gov.uk pages below. PassRates.uk is built on the Driver and Vehicle Standards Agency’s open data, published under the Open Government Licence.
Frequently asked questions
Which UK city has the lowest driving test pass rate?
London at roughly 38 percent volume-weighted across its 30-plus metropolitan centres. This is 10.7 percentage points below the UK national average of 48.7 percent and the widest city-to-national gap in the UK. Within London the spread is wider still, with Sidcup at 59 percent and Chingford at 36.5 percent. The 22.5 point internal spread is larger than any inter-city gap in the UK. See the research/london-vs-uk-pass-rate page.
Which UK city has the highest driving test pass rate?
Among the five biggest UK cities, Cardiff leads at roughly 53 percent volume-weighted across its two metropolitan centres (Cardiff and Llantrisant). Belfast (under DVA rather than DVSA) runs higher still at around 56 percent. Smaller cities and towns often exceed 55 percent. Among major English cities, Bristol and Sheffield run around 51 to 52 percent. The structural drivers are route density (lower in Cardiff than London) and cohort exposure to private practice.
What is the pass rate for the driving test in Birmingham?
Around 47 percent volume-weighted across the five metropolitan Birmingham centres (Sutton Coldfield, Wyrley Birch, Garretts Green, Kings Heath, Shirley). The internal spread within Birmingham is narrower than London, with centres running between 43 percent and 51 percent. A learner in Birmingham can expect a pass-rate experience close to the UK national average regardless of which Birmingham centre they pick. See the pass driving test in Birmingham guide.
Why is the London driving test pass rate so low?
Three structural drivers. First, route environment: London centres feature dense urban traffic with priority-shifting cycle infrastructure, box junctions, bus gates, and contraflow systems that produce more observation faults. Second, private practice exposure: London learners have lower car ownership and less practice access than national averages. Third, examiner rotation: high-volume centres see more inter-examiner variance. The 22.5 percentage point internal London spread (Sidcup 59 percent vs Chingford 36.5 percent) is wider than any inter-city UK gap.
Should I travel from London to a different city to take my driving test?
Rarely worth full cross-city travel. The intra-London spread is wider than the London-to-Cardiff inter-city gap, and a north-east London learner travelling 35 minutes from Chingford to Enfield Innova captures a 20 percentage point lift at modest cost. Crossing into Surrey or Essex for an outer-London centre is often the better calculation. Full Birmingham or Cardiff travel from London adds significant cost (£80 to £150 train plus accommodation) for a smaller gain than intra-city travel delivers. See the should I travel for easier test guide.
What is the pass rate for driving tests in Manchester and Glasgow?
Manchester sits at roughly 45 percent across four metropolitan centres (Cheetham Hill, Failsworth, West Didsbury, Sale) with sharper internal variation than Birmingham, ranging from about 40 to 50 percent. Glasgow sits at roughly 46 percent across three metropolitan centres (Anniesland, Mosspark, Shieldhall). Glasgow is below the broader Scottish average of 52 percent because inner-city Scottish routes share characteristics with English urban centres. See the easiest test centre Manchester guide and the why pass rates higher Scotland guide.
Do UK driving test pass rates differ by region?
Yes, substantially. Scotland averages roughly 52 percent versus 48.7 percent UK-wide, driven by lower-density routes and higher private practice rates. Wales averages around 53 percent. Northern Ireland (under DVA) averages around 56 percent. England averages around 48 percent, dragged down by London at 38 percent. Rural centres almost universally outperform urban ones, with the largest rural-urban gaps appearing in the south of England.
How accurate are city-level pass rates for predicting my chances?
They set the cohort baseline but individual factors matter more. The city aggregate predicts your odds at the average centre within roughly 5 to 10 percentage points. Your specific centre choice can shift you 15+ points within the city. Your age cohort can shift the baseline another 10 to 20 points (17 year olds at 60.75 percent first time versus 30-plus at around 41 percent). Your preparation can shift another 10 to 15 points. City-level pass rates are useful for planning but not for prediction at individual level.
Related guides
- London and regional analysisEasiest London centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Manchester centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisManchester vs LiverpoolRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Newcastle centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Sheffield centreRead guide
- London and regional analysisEasiest Edinburgh centreRead guide
Independent UK driving test analytics, reviewed against the latest DVSA quarterly statistical release.
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